Moreton City Excelsior U23 vs Lions FC U23
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Moreton City Excelsior U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Moreton City Excelsior U23Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.033 | A: 0.013Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Queensland U23 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Moreton City Excelsior U23. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Moreton City Excelsior U23 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Moreton City Excelsior U23 – Lions FC U23 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Oldham - Port Vale | 2.60 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Torslanda IK - Dalstorps IF | 2.35 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | ASD Pineto Calcio - Gubbio | 2.42 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Yarmouk - Al Salibikhaet SC | 2.33 | 2.49% |
| WIN | North Star - Caboolture FC | 2.29 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Bedford Town - Darlington 1883 | 2.56 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Rostov - Rubin Kazan | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Barnet - Salford City | 2.38 | 3.15% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabasalu FC Charma - JK Tallinna Kalev II | 1 | 2.31 | 2.49% | 16 Aug 14:00 |
| Lillestrøm 2 - Harstad | 1 | 2.63 | 2.49% | 16 Aug 16:00 |
| Cardiff - Wrexham | 1 | 2.42 | 2.49% | 17 Aug 21:00 |
| NEC - Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 2.57 | 2.49% | 19 Aug 21:00 |