Lillestrøm 2 – Harstad

Model: TIPPSH

Lillestrøm 2 vs Harstad

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.38
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 4
StartStarted 13h 58m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19h 52m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lillestrøm 2. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lillestrøm 2Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.120 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.70Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lillestrøm 2HOME
VS
HarstadAWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
WWWWD
Avg goals scored
3.00
5.00
Defensive weakness
3.40
1.40
Shots on target for
7.80
4.50
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
6.50
Home splitL-L-W-W-L4.80 scored / 3.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-D-D-W2.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 3 Group 5 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.38
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Lillestrøm 2's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -19.4% 7D: -17.7% 15D: 0.5% 30D: 4.1%
Model insight

Lillestrøm 2 – Harstad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample186
Win Rate43.0%
Profit+1.04u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKT Reykjavik (W) - Dalvik/Reynir (W)2.332.49%
LOSSTabasalu FC Charma - JK Tallinna Kalev II2.312.49%
WINMoreton City Excelsior U23 - Lions FC U232.352.49%
WINOldham - Port Vale2.603.15%
LOSSTorslanda IK - Dalstorps IF2.352.49%
LOSSASD Pineto Calcio - Gubbio2.422.49%
LOSSYarmouk - Al Salibikhaet SC2.332.49%
WINNorth Star - Caboolture FC2.292.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
FC Gagra - FC Spaeri12.302.49%17 Aug 18:00
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NEC - Bodo/Glimt12.572.49%19 Aug 21:00
Pick
1 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 13h 58m ago
Updated
Updated 19h 52m ago
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