Model: TipTromba2H

Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town

PREDICTION

@ 1.80

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 18, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 1h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cleethorpes Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Cleethorpes TownGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.161 | A: -0.042

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.80First seen

Current1.80Now

Max odds1.87Highest point

Min odds1.80Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Cleethorpes TownHOME

Alfreton TownAWAY

DWWDW

Recent form

WWLLL

Avg goals scored

3.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

3.80

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

6.80

Home splitW-D-L-D-L0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.17% based on n=215 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Northern Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.80

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Cleethorpes Town's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -24.1% 7D: -17.0% 15D: 0.1% 30D: 3.9%

Model insight

Cleethorpes Town – Alfreton Town Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.17% and 6.17%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample276

Win Rate58.3%

Profit+16.33u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Swit Szczecin II - Ina Insko	1.55	6.49%
WIN	Fjolnir (W) - Einherji Women	1.67	6.49%
LOSS	FC Pisek - FK Loko Praha	1.80	6.89%
WIN	Mustang Ostaszewo - LKS Start Pruszcz	1.85	6.89%
LOSS	Inchicore Athletic FC - Montpelier FC	1.83	7.35%
WIN	Sacachispas U20 - Centro Espanol U20	1.55	6.49%
WIN	FC Tatran Presov U19 - MFK Ruzomberok U19	1.85	7.35%
LOSS	Troyes - Panetolikos	1.75	7.35%

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Pick

1 @ 1.80

Kickoff

Ago 18, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.17% • n=215

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.17% • n=215

Start

Starts in 1d 1h

Updated

Updated 10m ago