SD Aucas vs LDU Quito
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is LDU Quito. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LDU QuitoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.021 | A: -0.004Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.37. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.79% based on n=75 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. LDU Quito is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
SD Aucas – LDU Quito Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Paksi - Kispest Honved | 3.51 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Huehuetecos FC - Deportivo Gomerano | 3.39 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas | 3.61 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3.14 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Besiktas - Midtjylland | 3.31 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Real Sociedad - Racing Santander | 3.50 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Sacramento Republic - Rhode Island FC | 3.50 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Avai - Cuiaba | 3.20 | -1.07% |