Maastricht – FC Volendam

Model: TIPPSH

Maastricht vs FC Volendam

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.92
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Maastricht. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MaastrichtGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.029 | A: 0.165

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.40First seen
Current3.92Now
Max odds3.92Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MaastrichtHOME
VS
FC VolendamAWAY
WWDLD
Recent form
WLLWD
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.60
Shots on target for
4.80
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.60
Home splitW-D-L-D-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-W-W2.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.92. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.87% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.92
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -13.8% 7D: -23.1% 15D: -4.0% 30D: 1.1%
Model insight

Maastricht – FC Volendam Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.92. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.87% across 129 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate27.3%
Profit+0.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCD Estradense - Coruxo3.905.87%
LOSSSestri Levante - FC Vado3.905.56%
LOSSBjelovar - NK Krizevci3.795.87%
WINMlada Boleslav - Sparta Prague4.035.87%
LOSSGyeongnam FC - Daegu FC4.055.56%
LOSSFK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3.945.87%
LOSSGuangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan4.115.87%
LOSSLyn 1896 U19 - Molde U193.905.87%
Pick
1 @ 3.92
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Start
Starts in 3d
Updated
Updated 9m ago
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