Vitesse vs Almere City FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Vitesse. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: VitesseGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.045 | A: -0.030Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Vitesse – Almere City FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Gloria Popesti Leordeni - FC Bacau | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Olimpia Elblag - Widzew Lodz II | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | FC Grand-Saconnex - FC Schaffhausen | 2.24 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalamata - Panetolikos | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Jaguares de Cordoba U19 - Barranquilla FC U19 | 2.42 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Cesar Vallejo Reserves - Juventud Cautivo | 2.11 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow | 2.49 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | FC Gagra - FC Spaeri | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarasota Paradise - Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 | 2.28 | 2.49% | 20 Aug 01:30 |
| FC Tallinn - JK Nomme United II | 1 | 2.30 | 2.49% | 20 Aug 14:00 |
| Vysocina Jihlava - FC Silon Taborsko | 1 | 2.33 | 2.49% | 21 Aug 18:00 |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Shonan Bellmare | 1 | 2.44 | 3.15% | 22 Aug 12:00 |
| SW Bregenz - Sturm Graz II | 1 | 2.10 | 3.37% | 22 Aug 17:30 |
| Miedz Legnica - Arka Gdynia | 1 | 2.25 | 2.49% | 23 Aug 14:30 |
| Lugano - St Gallen | 1 | 2.01 | 3.37% | 23 Aug 16:30 |
| Cesena - Sampdoria | 1 | 2.44 | 2.49% | 23 Aug 21:00 |