Rostov – Lokomotiv Moscow

Model: TIPPSH

Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.53
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 18, 2026 9:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 22h 34m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Rostov. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: RostovGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.076 | A: -0.012

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.88First seen
Current2.53Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds2.49Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

RostovHOME
VS
Lokomotiv MoscowAWAY
DDWWL
Recent form
DDDLD
Avg goals scored
2.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
6.20
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
6.00
Home splitD-L-L-L-D0.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-W0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.53. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Russia Cup (ru). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.53
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Rostov. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Rostov is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -15.6% 7D: -20.0% 15D: -3.1% 30D: 1.7%
Model insight

Rostov – Lokomotiv Moscow Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.53. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample125
Win Rate45.6%
Profit+15.53u
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WINMoreton City Excelsior U23 - Lions FC U232.352.49%
WINOldham - Port Vale2.603.15%
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Pick
1 @ 2.53
Kickoff
Ago 18, 2026 9:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 22h 34m
Updated
Updated 10m ago
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