Model: TIPPSH

Akron Tolyatti vs Krylia Sovetov

PREDICTION

@ 2.93

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 4h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Akron Tolyatti. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Akron TolyattiGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.075 | A: -0.049

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.90First seen

Current2.93Now

Max odds2.93Highest point

Min odds2.90Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Akron TolyattiHOME

Krylia SovetovAWAY

WDDLL

Recent form

DLLWD

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.60

Shots on target for

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

6.40

Home splitL-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitW-D-D-L-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.93. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Russia Premier League (ru). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.93

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 39.0% 7D: -6.7% 15D: -0.7% 30D: 2.8%

Model insight

Akron Tolyatti – Krylia Sovetov Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample67

Win Rate43.3%

Profit+17.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	ADO Den Haag - FC Groningen	2.82	4.53%
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WIN	Perth Glory NPL - Fremantle City FC	2.88	4.53%
LOSS	Annan Athletic - Clyde	2.93	4.53%

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Pick

1 @ 2.93

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669

Start

Starts in 2d 4h

Updated

Updated 9m ago