Model: TIPPSH

Troyes vs Paris FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.88

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 5h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Troyes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: TroyesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.014 | A: -0.128

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TroyesHOME

Paris FCAWAY

DDWWW

Recent form

LLDDW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

2.00

Shots on target for

5.20

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

3.80

Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-D-W1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.88. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 1 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.88

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Troyes has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Troyes's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -29.6% 7D: -23.7% 15D: -5.1% 30D: 0.7%

Model insight

Troyes – Paris FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample71

Win Rate42.3%

Profit+15.58u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Muglaspor - Bandirmaspor	2.75	4.53%
LOSS	Lillestrøm 2 - Harstad	2.63	2.49%
WIN	BSK Banja Luka - Velez Mostar	2.90	4.53%
LOSS	ADO Den Haag - FC Groningen	2.82	4.53%
LOSS	USV Gnas - Ilzer SV	2.98	4.53%
WIN	Perth Glory NPL - Fremantle City FC	2.88	4.53%
LOSS	Annan Athletic - Clyde	2.93	4.53%
WIN	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Larnaca	2.92	4.53%

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Pick

1 @ 2.88

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669

Start

Starts in 4d 5h

Updated

Updated 12m ago