Model: TIPPSH

Tonbridge Angels vs Truro City

PREDICTION

@ 2.57

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 15h 51m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6h 20m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tonbridge Angels. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tonbridge AngelsGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.032 | A: 0.065

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.91First seen

Current2.57Now

Max odds2.91Highest point

Min odds2.57Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tonbridge AngelsHOME

Truro CityAWAY

WLWWW

Recent form

WDWWL

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.40

Shots on target for

5.20

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

Home splitL-W-D-L-W1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-W-L2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.57. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.57

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Tonbridge Angels. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tonbridge Angels's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 56.5% 7D: 5.9% 15D: 5.4% 30D: 4.5%

Model insight

Tonbridge Angels – Truro City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.57. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample189

Win Rate38.6%

Profit-8.73u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	SK Hranice - MFK Havirov	2.50	1.59%
LOSS	RSD Alcala - Gimnastica Segoviana	2.55	1.59%
LOSS	SK Pama - SV Leithaprodersdorf	2.45	1.59%
WIN	Lettir Reykjavik - BF 108	2.33	1.59%
LOSS	Vitesse - Almere City FC	2.55	1.59%
LOSS	SC Farense U23 - Estoril U23	2.37	1.59%
LOSS	FC Dordrecht - Roda JC	2.68	1.59%
LOSS	Marine - Chorley	2.50	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.57

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-0.70% • n=209

Start

Starts in 15h 51m

Updated

Updated 6h 20m ago