New England Revolution – New York City FC

Model: TIPPSH

New England Revolution vs New York City FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.63
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 24, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 13h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is New England Revolution. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: New England RevolutionGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.039 | A: 0.035

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.64First seen
Current2.63Now
Max odds2.64Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

New England RevolutionHOME
VS
New York City FCAWAY
WLLDW
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.80
Shots on target for
5.40
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
7.00
Home splitL-W-D-W-L1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.63
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, New England Revolution has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 55.9% 7D: 1.9% 15D: 4.6% 30D: 3.7%
Model insight

New England Revolution – New York City FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Negeri Sembilan - Kuala Lumpur City12.512.49%22 Aug 11:00
Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Shonan Bellmare12.443.15%22 Aug 12:00
Belshina Bobruisk - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk12.834.53%22 Aug 13:00
Sutton Utd - Hartlepool12.632.49%22 Aug 13:30
Molde FK (W) - LSK Kvinner (W)12.422.49%22 Aug 14:00
Tonbridge Angels - Truro City12.884.53%22 Aug 16:00
Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Petah Tikva12.764.53%22 Aug 19:00
Troyes - Paris FC12.884.53%22 Aug 20:45
Pick
1 @ 2.63
Kickoff
Ago 24, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 1d 13h
Updated
Updated 2d 2h ago
Torna in alto