New England Revolution vs New York City FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is New England Revolution. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: New England RevolutionGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.039 | A: 0.035Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, New England Revolution has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
New England Revolution – New York City FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) - SK Sturm Graz (W) | 2.40 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | CA Atlas Reserves - JJ Urquiza Reserves | 2.84 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Gloria Popesti Leordeni - FC Bacau | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Inchicore Athletic FC - Wayside Celtic | 2.64 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Olimpia Elblag - Widzew Lodz II | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Kalamata - Panetolikos | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Jaguares de Cordoba U19 - Barranquilla FC U19 | 2.42 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles FC | 2.74 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negeri Sembilan - Kuala Lumpur City | 1 | 2.51 | 2.49% | 22 Aug 11:00 |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Shonan Bellmare | 1 | 2.44 | 3.15% | 22 Aug 12:00 |
| Belshina Bobruisk - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1 | 2.83 | 4.53% | 22 Aug 13:00 |
| Sutton Utd - Hartlepool | 1 | 2.63 | 2.49% | 22 Aug 13:30 |
| Molde FK (W) - LSK Kvinner (W) | 1 | 2.42 | 2.49% | 22 Aug 14:00 |
| Tonbridge Angels - Truro City | 1 | 2.88 | 4.53% | 22 Aug 16:00 |
| Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 2.76 | 4.53% | 22 Aug 19:00 |
| Troyes - Paris FC | 1 | 2.88 | 4.53% | 22 Aug 20:45 |