Model: TIPPSH

Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 3:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 21h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sutton Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sutton UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.156 | A: -0.053

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sutton UtdHOME

HartlepoolAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

WLWWL

Avg goals scored

2.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.60

2.60

Shots on target for

3.60

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

6.00

Home splitW-W-W-W-D1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-L2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.63

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Sutton Utd has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -29.6% 7D: -23.7% 15D: -4.9% 30D: 0.7%

Model insight

Sutton Utd – Hartlepool Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample102

Win Rate42.2%

Profit+8.14u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Jaguares de Cordoba U19 - Barranquilla FC U19	2.42	2.49%
LOSS	Muglaspor - Bandirmaspor	2.75	4.53%
LOSS	Lillestrøm 2 - Harstad	2.63	2.49%
LOSS	ADO Den Haag - FC Groningen	2.82	4.53%
WIN	Oldham - Port Vale	2.60	3.15%
LOSS	ASD Pineto Calcio - Gubbio	2.42	2.49%
WIN	Perth Glory NPL - Fremantle City FC	2.88	4.53%
LOSS	Bedford Town - Darlington 1883	2.56	2.49%

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Pick

1 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 3:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Starts in 3d 21h

Updated

Updated 13m ago