Model: TipA1

Poxyt vs GrIFK Reservi

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 21, 2026 7:15 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 9h 4m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2h 24m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is GrIFK Reservi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GrIFK ReserviGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.031 | A: -0.034

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PoxytHOME

GrIFK ReserviAWAY

DWLWL

Recent form

WWLLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.80

Shots on target for

4.60

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

8.40

3.00

Home splitW-L-L-L-W1.60 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-W-L1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.63

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 67.3% 7D: 4.6% 15D: 4.8% 30D: 4.2%

Model insight

Poxyt – GrIFK Reservi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample177

Win Rate41.8%

Profit+9.37u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	PPJ/Ruoholahti - Gilla FC	2.50	4.27%
WIN	Ludogorets Razgrad II - Vihren Sandanski	2.40	4.27%
LOSS	Sertaozinho FC U20 - Mirassol U20	2.55	4.27%
WIN	Shan Utd U20 - Dagon Star United U20	2.70	4.27%
WIN	Gazalkent - Olympic Mobiuz	2.38	4.27%
LOSS	AZ Picerno ASD - Barletta	2.70	4.27%
LOSS	Perth SC - Perth RedStar FC	2.63	4.27%
WIN	Santos (W) - Flamengo (W)	2.55	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
CD Colegios Diocesanos - CD Galapagar	2	2.40	4.27%	21 Aug 19:30
Grotta Seltjarnarnes - IR Reykjavik	2	2.70	4.27%	21 Aug 21:15
Futbol Consultants Desamparados - Cariari Pococi	2	2.50	4.27%	21 Aug 22:00
Stirling Macedonia - Western Knights	2	2.60	4.27%	22 Aug 09:00
Club Atlético Tembetary - Fernando de la Mora	2	2.55	4.27%	22 Aug 15:00
Termalica BB Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw	2	2.45	4.27%	22 Aug 15:30
Sollentuna United FF - IF Karlstad Fotboll	2	2.45	4.27%	22 Aug 16:00
Chorley - Scarborough Athletic	2	2.60	4.27%	22 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Ago 21, 2026 7:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.85% • n=441

Start

Starts in 9h 4m

Updated

Updated 2h 24m ago