TuPS – JäPS/47

Model: TIPPSH

TuPS vs JäPS/47

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 20, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 1d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is TuPS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: TuPSGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.122 | A: 0.111

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.02First seen
Current2.44Now
Max odds2.44Highest point
Min odds2.02Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TuPSHOME
VS
JäPS/47AWAY
LLWLL
Recent form
WWDWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
3.20
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.40
Shots on target for
9.80
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
5.40
Home splitL-W-L-W-L3.00 scored / 2.40 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-L-W3.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. TuPS is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 52.6% 7D: 4.1% 15D: 3.2% 30D: 4.3%
Model insight

TuPS – JäPS/47 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample266
Win Rate42.5%
Profit-17.41u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSASD Seravezza Calcio - Scandicci2.003.37%
LOSSFirst Vienna FC 1894 (W) - SK Sturm Graz (W)2.403.15%
LOSSMawlai SC - Shillong Lajong Reserves2.293.15%
LOSSNorthcote City - Brunswick Juventus2.372.49%
LOSSPK Keski-Uusimaa - JJK2.312.49%
LOSSFC Tallinn - JK Nomme United II2.302.49%
LOSSVysocina Jihlava - FC Silon Taborsko2.332.49%
LOSSGloria Popesti Leordeni - FC Bacau2.452.49%
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Pick
1 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Ago 20, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 1d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 10h ago
Torna in alto