CD Colegios Diocesanos – CD Galapagar

Model: TIPPSA

CD Colegios Diocesanos vs CD Galapagar

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 6h 28m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 30m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CD Galapagar. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CD GalapagarGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

20/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.52First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.56Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD Colegios DiocesanosHOME
VS
CD GalapagarAWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
WWWLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
2.50
6.67
SoT conceded pressure
9.00
4.33
Home splitL-L-W-L-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D2.25 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.16. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.16
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors CD Galapagar. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. CD Galapagar has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 57.2% 7D: 4.5% 15D: 1.9% 30D: 3.6%
Model insight

CD Colegios Diocesanos – CD Galapagar Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample82
Win Rate41.5%
Profit-9.85u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAtlantis FC/PM - ToTe2.16-0.84%
LOSSRubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow2.04-0.84%
WINCK Troszyn - Warta Sieradz2.01-0.84%
LOSSPogon Sokol Lubaczow - Wisla Krakow II2.02-0.84%
LOSSStord - Åsane Fotball 22.11-0.84%
WINFollo - Rana FK2.09-0.84%
WINBaltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow2.05-0.84%
LOSSRacing Santander - Villarreal2.12-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Started 6h 28m ago
Updated
Updated 8h 30m ago
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