Model: TIPPSA

Zamora vs UCV

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 12:00 AM

ResultLOSS2 - 0

StartStarted 5h 47m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7h 51m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UCV. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UCVGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.114 | A: -0.093

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.88First seen

Current2.47Now

Max odds2.88Highest point

Min odds2.27Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ZamoraHOME

UCVAWAY

WLLLL

Recent form

LLLWL

Avg goals scored

0.80

0.60

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.60

Shots on target for

3.00

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

8.20

4.60

Home splitW-L-W-W-D2.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-W0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Primera Division (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.30

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 25.6% 7D: 7.0% 15D: 2.0% 30D: 3.5%

Model insight

Zamora – UCV Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample180

Win Rate42.8%

Profit-1.48u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Poprad - FC Lokomotiva Kosice	2.43	4.13%
WIN	NJS - MuSa	2.38	4.13%
LOSS	Sligo Rovers - Waterford FC	2.30	3.59%
WIN	Pointe Michel FC - We United FC	2.38	4.13%
WIN	Deportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle	2.50	4.13%
WIN	Sportivo Trinidense (W) - Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	2.54	4.13%
WIN	HB Køge - Hvidovre IF	2.08	2.63%
WIN	FC Utrecht - AZ	2.47	3.59%

Pick

2 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 12:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 5h 47m ago

Updated

Updated 7h 51m ago