Model: TIPPSA

NJS vs MuSa

PREDICTION

@ 2.38

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 13h 48m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16h 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is MuSa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MuSaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.088 | A: -0.108

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.08First seen

Current2.38Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NJSHOME

MuSaAWAY

LLLLL

Recent form

WLLLL

Avg goals scored

0.40

0.60

Defensive weakness

3.20

Shots on target for

3.00

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

10.60

5.40

Home splitL-L-L-L-L0.80 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-W1.20 scored / 3.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kakkonen Group B (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.38

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors MuSa. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 26.7% 7D: 17.7% 15D: 0.6% 30D: 3.0%

Model insight

NJS – MuSa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample188

Win Rate40.4%

Profit-5.94u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Poprad - FC Lokomotiva Kosice	2.43	4.13%
LOSS	Sligo Rovers - Waterford FC	2.30	3.59%
WIN	Pointe Michel FC - We United FC	2.38	4.13%
WIN	Deportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle	2.50	4.13%
WIN	Sportivo Trinidense (W) - Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	2.54	4.13%
WIN	Crawley Town - Crewe	2.59	4.13%
WIN	FC Utrecht - AZ	2.47	3.59%
LOSS	Arkonia Szczecin U19 - Gornik Zabrze U19	2.39	4.13%

Pick

2 @ 2.38

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 13h 48m ago

Updated

Updated 16h 8m ago