Napier City Rovers – Miramar Rangers

Model: TIPPSA

Napier City Rovers vs Miramar Rangers

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.39
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 23, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 23m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.84% · n=89
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.84% · n=89
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 38m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Miramar Rangers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Miramar RangersGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.034 | A: 0.065

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.19First seen
Current3.39Now
Max odds3.39Highest point
Min odds3.11Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Napier City RoversHOME
VS
Miramar RangersAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WDLDW
Avg goals scored
3.00
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.60
Shots on target for
6.80
11.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
2.20
Home splitW-W-W-D-W3.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-D1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.39. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.84% based on n=89 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Central League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.39
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.84% · n=89
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.84% · n=89
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Miramar Rangers has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 25.7% 7D: 9.5% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 3.0%
Model insight

Napier City Rovers – Miramar Rangers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.39. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.84% and 3.84%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample56
Win Rate30.4%
Profit+1.08u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSNew Mexico United - Tulsa3.144.96%
LOSSYork - Bristol Rovers3.364.77%
LOSSBandirmaspor - Istanbulspor3.474.77%
LOSSKickers Offenbach - FC Astoria Walldorf3.304.77%
LOSSVitoria - Athletico Paranaense3.474.77%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Herediano - Sporting San Jose23.384.77%23 Aug 04:00
Pick
2 @ 3.39
Kickoff
Ago 23, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.84% • n=89
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.84% • n=89
Start
Starts in 23m
Updated
Updated 1h 38m ago
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