Thisted FC – Skive

Model: TIPPSA

Thisted FC vs Skive

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.41
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 5h 57m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 59m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Skive. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SkiveGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.333 | A: -0.057

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.41Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds1.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Thisted FCHOME
VS
SkiveAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WLLWW
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.60
Shots on target for
2.40
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
4.60
Home splitL-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.41. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 2 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.41
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Skive shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Skive's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 48.2% 7D: 16.8% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 4.4%
Model insight

Thisted FC – Skive Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.41. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample100
Win Rate39.0%
Profit-7.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINXorazm Urganch - Lokomotiv Tashkent2.440.84%
WINUlfarnir - KFR Hvolsvöllur2.300.84%
LOSSOFI Crete - CSKA Sofia2.540.84%
WINAjax Reserves - FC Emmen2.500.84%
LOSSHapoel Ramat Gan - Beitar Jerusalem2.330.84%
LOSSDeportes Iquique - CD Antofagasta2.570.84%
LOSSSK Beveren - Anderlecht2.360.84%
LOSSSt Mochtas - Malahide Utd2.201.21%
Pick
2 @ 2.41
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 5h 57m ago
Updated
Updated 7h 59m ago
Torna in alto