Girona vs Las Palmas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Girona. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: GironaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.090 | A: 0.152Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.76. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Girona – Las Palmas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Dunajska Streda U19 - MFK Zemplin Michalovce U19 | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Ferencvarosi TC II - Majosi SE | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Larne Reserves - Carrick Rangers Reserves | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Penarol - Torque | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Everton de Vina - Universidad de Concepcion | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| WIN | LASK Linz - Celtic | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Siwelele FC - Chippa United | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Chaves - AVS | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 23 Aug 12:00 |
| LASK Linz - Celtic | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 25 Aug 21:00 |
| Unia Skierniewice - Stal Rzeszow | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 28 Aug 18:00 |