Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo – Ventforet Kofu

Model: TIPPSH

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 26, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 13h 54m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20h 28m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hokkaido Consadole SapporoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.042 | A: -0.135

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.88First seen
Current2.01Now
Max odds2.03Highest point
Min odds1.88Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hokkaido Consadole SapporoHOME
VS
Ventforet KofuAWAY
LLLWD
Recent form
WLDLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.00
Shots on target for
3.00
1.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
4.80
Home splitL-L-W-L-W1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-L0.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.01. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan FA Cup (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.01
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 24.5% 7D: 31.0% 15D: 6.0% 30D: 8.8%
Model insight

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo – Ventforet Kofu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample868
Win Rate49.5%
Profit-16.73u
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Pick
1 @ 2.01
Kickoff
Ago 26, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 13h 54m ago
Updated
Updated 20h 28m ago
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