Model: TIPPSA

Southport vs Hereford FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 31, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 2d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hereford FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hereford FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.071 | A: 0.124

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.70First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.70Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SouthportHOME

Hereford FCAWAY

LLWDD

Recent form

WDWWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.00

0.20

Shots on target for

3.00

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

2.80

Home splitL-W-D-D-W1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-W-D1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.59% based on n=214 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League North (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.50

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hereford FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 2.0% 7D: 4.2% 15D: 15.0% 30D: 7.5%

Model insight

Southport – Hereford FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample207

Win Rate44.0%

Profit+18.55u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Gil Vicente U23 - Rio Ave U23	2.34	4.13%
WIN	Asyut Petroleum - National Bank	2.26	4.13%
WIN	Deportivo Moquegua - Alianza Atletico	2.63	4.13%
LOSS	Hartberg - SV Ried	2.50	4.13%
LOSS	Samgurali - FC Rustavi	2.33	4.13%
WIN	Chattanooga Red Wolves - AC Boise	2.26	4.13%
WIN	Deportes Limache - Everton de Vina	2.63	4.13%
LOSS	Padova - Verona	2.64	4.13%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30
Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	2	2.42	4.13%	03 Sep 03:25

Pick

2 @ 2.50

Kickoff

Ago 31, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214

Start

Started 2d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 3h ago