Model: TIPPSH

2 de Mayo vs Sportivo San Lorenzo

PREDICTION

@ 1.84

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 23, 2026 1:00 AM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 49d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is 2 de Mayo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: 2 de Mayo

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.30First seen

Current1.81Now

Max odds2.30Highest point

Min odds1.73Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

2 de MayoHOME

Sportivo San LorenzoAWAY

LDWWD

Recent form

WDWLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.20

Shots on target for

3.80

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

4.60

Home splitL-W-D-L1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.84. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Division Profesional (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.84

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to 2 de Mayo's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 60.9% 7D: 46.2% 15D: 26.6% 30D: 9.7%

Model insight

2 de Mayo – Sportivo San Lorenzo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample264

Win Rate45.1%

Profit-36.34u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1.97	1.04%
WIN	Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk	1.96	1.31%
WIN	EC Juventude - Vila Nova	1.84	1.04%
LOSS	Hwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC	1.93	1.04%
LOSS	Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon	2.06	1.04%
LOSS	Cobresal - Cobreloa	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	St Polten - SK Artis Brno	2.03	1.31%

Active Similar Predictions

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Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn	1	1.95	1.04%	11 Jul 20:00
Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II	1	1.89	1.31%	12 Jul 01:00
Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II	1	2.07	1.04%	12 Jul 04:00
GAIS - Elfsborg	1	1.95	1.04%	12 Jul 16:30

Pick

1 @ 1.84

Kickoff

Mag 23, 2026 1:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Started 49d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 19h ago