Adelaide United – Cong An Ha Noi

Model: TIPPSA

Adelaide United vs Cong An Ha Noi

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.09
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 11, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 10h 24m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12h 26m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cong An Ha Noi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Cong An Ha NoiGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.007 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.34First seen
Current4.16Now
Max odds5.50Highest point
Min odds4.16Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Adelaide UnitedHOME
VS
Cong An Ha NoiAWAY
LLWWL
Recent form
WLWDW
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.60
Shots on target for
5.00
8.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
2.60
Home splitL-L-W-D1.00 scored / 1.75 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-W-W1.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.09. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.92% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to AFC Champions League Qualification. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.09
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Cong An Ha Noi is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -3.9% 7D: 5.9% 15D: 11.3% 30D: 10.9%
Model insight

Adelaide United – Cong An Ha Noi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.09. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.92% across 146 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate15.4%
Profit-4.93u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINOsasuna - Al Ain SCC4.102.78%
LOSSAFC Wimbledon - Newport County4.203.92%
LOSSCSD Municipal - Cartagines3.852.78%
LOSSCD Los Chankas - Sport Boys4.073.92%
LOSSSarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U193.893.99%
LOSSVaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W)4.173.92%
LOSSUSA - Paraguay3.973.92%
LOSSAskoe Oedt - Deutschlandsberger SC4.042.78%
Pick
2 @ 4.09
Kickoff
Ago 11, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.92% • n=146
Start
Started 10h 24m ago
Updated
Updated 12h 26m ago
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