Alhama CF (W) – Villarreal (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Alhama CF (W) vs Villarreal (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.93
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 21m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 2m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alhama CF (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Alhama CF (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.127 | A: 0.174

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.08Now
Max odds2.12Highest point
Min odds1.92Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Alhama CF (W)HOME
VS
Villarreal (W)AWAY
LLDLW
Recent form
LDDWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.40
Shots on target for
4.80
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
6.00
Home splitL-D-W-L1.75 scored / 2.50 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-D-D1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women’s Friendly. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.93
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -19.6% 7D: -17.7% 15D: 0.8% 30D: 4.2%
Model insight

Alhama CF (W) – Villarreal (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample648
Win Rate51.4%
Profit-0.16u
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WINSK Sturm Graz (W) - FC Salzburg (W)1.901.04%
LOSSBenatky Nad Jizerou - Hradec Kralove B2.101.31%
WINLautoka FC - Nadi FC1.851.31%
WINTauro FC Reserves - San Martin FC2.061.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.93
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 21m
Updated
Updated 2h 2m ago
Torna in alto