Model: TIPPSA
Altona City – Essendon Royals
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 12:15 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 31d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.22% · n=185
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Altona City | Essendon Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-L | W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.67 | 3.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L (home) | W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 1.50 conceded | 2.50 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.33 for / 5.67 against | 9.67 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 6.00 for / 1.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Essendon Royals. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Essendon Royals is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.02First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.02Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Altona City – Essendon Royals Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.22% across 185 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample86
Win Rate51.2%
Profit+7.73u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Unam Pumas - Cruz Azul | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Nottm Forest - Bournemouth | 2.02 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Usti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2.27 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - Leca | 2.36 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Brondby - FC Copenhagen | 2.29 | 0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 12:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.22% • n=185
Start
Started 31d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 15h ago