Model: TipTromba3H

Amanat Baghdad vs Al Kahrabaa

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 15, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 57d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=188

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 57d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Amanat Baghdad. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Amanat Baghdad

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.75First seen

Current2.75Now

Max odds2.75Highest point

Min odds2.75Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Amanat BaghdadHOME

Al KahrabaaAWAY

LLDDD

Recent form

WWDLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

Shots on target for

4.80

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

5.00

Home splitL-D-D-W-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-D-L1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.60. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.23% based on n=188 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iraq Stars League (iq). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.60

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.23% · n=188

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Amanat Baghdad. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Amanat Baghdad's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 29.9% 7D: 16.5% 15D: -6.2% 30D: -1.2%

Model insight

Amanat Baghdad – Al Kahrabaa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 188 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample119

Win Rate37.0%

Profit-3.43u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Vasas SC - Kisvarda FC	2.60	2.55%
LOSS	Sacachispas U20 - Defensores de Glew U20	2.55	2.55%
LOSS	Unia Skierniewice - Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2.50	2.55%
WIN	Central Espanol Reserves - La Luz Reserves	2.80	4.49%
WIN	Ehime FC (W) - Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2.75	4.49%
WIN	Polissya Zhytomyr - CSKA Sofia	2.75	4.49%
WIN	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Tai'an Tiankuang	2.80	4.49%
LOSS	Joy AC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W)	2.70	2.55%

Pick

1 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Mag 15, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.23% • n=188

Start

Started 57d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 57d 21h ago