Souths United – SWQ Thunder

Model: TipA1

Souths United – SWQ Thunder

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 3
StartStarted 10d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.83% · n=574
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.07% · n=218
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 1h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Souths United SWQ Thunder
Last 5 form L-L-W-W-W W-W-L-W-L
Avg goals scored 2.00 2.40
Avg goals conceded 1.80 1.80
Home/Away form L-W-W (home) W-W-W-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.00 scored / 2.33 conceded 2.75 scored / 1.75 conceded
Shots on target 3.25 for / 5.50 against 11.33 for / 5.33 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.67 for / 5.33 against (home) 11.33 for / 5.33 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to SWQ Thunder's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.81Now
Max odds2.82Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Souths United – SWQ Thunder Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.83% and 5.07%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample65
Win Rate35.4%
Profit-0.29u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHFX Wanderers - Inter Toronto2.805.52%
LOSSMPS U21 - Atlantis U212.506.36%
WINDukla Praha (W) - FK Teplice (W)2.905.52%
LOSSCD Marathon - Motagua2.805.52%
WINSV Donau - SC Wiener Viktoria2.755.52%
WINGladesville Ravens (W) - Sydney Olympic FC (W)2.707.37%
LOSSInner West Hawks - Bankstown United FC2.506.36%
LOSSAntequera - Juventud Torremolinos CF3.005.52%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Catania - Ascoli22.885.52%27 May 21:00
Pick
2 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.83% • n=574
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.07% • n=218
Start
Started 10d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 1h ago
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