Souths United – SWQ Thunder

Model: TipA1

Souths United vs SWQ Thunder

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 3
StartStarted 56d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.83% · n=574
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.07% · n=218
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SWQ Thunder. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SWQ Thunder

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.81Now
Max odds2.82Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Souths UnitedHOME
VS
SWQ ThunderAWAY
LLWWW
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.80
Shots on target for
3.25
11.33
SoT conceded pressure
5.50
5.33
Home splitL-W-W2.00 scored / 2.33 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L2.75 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.07% based on n=218 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.75
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.83% · n=574
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.07% · n=218
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices SWQ Thunder as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. SWQ Thunder is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 29.9% 7D: 16.5% 15D: -6.2% 30D: -1.2%
Model insight

Souths United – SWQ Thunder Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.83% and 5.07%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample103
Win Rate35.9%
Profit+0.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSBotafogo RJ U20 - Flamengo U202.905.52%
LOSSSilvio Pettirossi - Presidente Hayes2.805.52%
WINDandenong City - South Melbourne2.805.52%
LOSSRapid Vienna - Pardubice2.636.36%
LOSSBrasiliense U20 - Capital CF U202.755.52%
LOSSNexus Miyakonojo - Kawasoe Club2.606.67%
WINGlenorchy Knights Reserves - Clarence Zebras Reserves2.606.36%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Cobreloa - La Serena22.755.52%12 Jul 18:30
Pick
2 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.83% • n=574
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.07% • n=218
Start
Started 56d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 2h ago
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