Model: TIPPSH

Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario

PREDICTION

@ 2.17

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 05, 2026 11:30 PM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 42d 15h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 43d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Maipu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo MaipuGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.13First seen

Current2.17Now

Max odds2.17Highest point

Min odds2.13Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo MaipuHOME

AgropecuarioAWAY

WDLLW

Recent form

LLLDD

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

3.60

1.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

3.80

Home splitW-D-L-W-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D-L0.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.17

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Deportivo Maipu a useful statistical edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Deportivo Maipu's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 81.8% 7D: 42.5% 15D: 20.0% 30D: 7.4%

Model insight

Deportivo Maipu – Agropecuario Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample552

Win Rate48.2%

Profit+11.03u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Amedspor - Erzurumspor FK	2.34	1.59%
WIN	Rio Verde - Goianesia	2.02	1.04%
LOSS	Raufoss - Asane	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Rebordosa - FC Tirsense	2.19	1.04%
WIN	Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos	2.25	1.59%
WIN	Molde - Tromso	2.11	1.31%
WIN	US Hostert - FC Etzella Ettelbruck	1.95	1.04%
WIN	St Patricks - Shamrock Rovers	2.25	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.17

Kickoff

Lug 05, 2026 11:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 42d 15h ago

Updated

Updated 43d 14h ago