Model: TIPPSH
Almagro vs Atletico Rafaela
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.35
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 04, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 48d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 19h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Almagro. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AlmagroGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
26/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.48First seen
Current2.48Now
Max odds2.48Highest point
Min odds2.48Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
AlmagroHOME
VS
Atletico RafaelaAWAY
WWWDW
Recent form
LDDWL
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.20
Defensive weakness
0.20
0.60
Shots on target for
3.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
1.40
4.60
Home splitW-W-W-W-L1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-L-L0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.35
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 92.6%
7D: 60.9%
15D: 32.3%
30D: 13.0%
Model insight
Almagro – Atletico Rafaela Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample395
Win Rate44.1%
Profit+0.49u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Fulham United FC - Adelaide Blue Eagles | 2.11 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Bulls FC Academy - Canterbury Bankstown FC | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| WIN | INAC Leonessa (W) - Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 2.48 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Giugliano - Scafatese | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | SC Fürstenfeld - TUS Bad Waltersdorf | 2.15 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Cracovia Krakow - Wieczysta Krakow | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy | 2.16 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sportfreunde Siegen - Borussia M'gladbach II | 2.21 | 1.31% |
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| Harrogate Town - Barrow | 1 | 2.36 | 1.59% | 22 Aug 13:30 |
| BFA Vilnius - FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 22 Aug 14:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.70% • n=209
Start
Started 48d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 19h ago