Aragua – Atletico Avila

Model: TIPPSH

Aragua – Atletico Avila

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.98
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 11:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 17d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 16h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Aragua Atletico Avila
Last 5 form D-D-W-L-D D-L-W-D-D
Avg goals scored 0.60 1.20
Avg goals conceded 0.60 1.20
Home/Away form D-W-D (home) D-L-D-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 0.67 conceded 0.75 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 5.80 for / 4.80 against 2.50 for / 5.25 against
Home/Away shots on target 7.33 for / 4.67 against (home) 2.50 for / 5.25 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Aragua's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current1.98Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.73Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Aragua – Atletico Avila Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample310
Win Rate49.7%
Profit-10.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINVarnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B1.893.37%
LOSSSouth Melbourne - Auckland FC II1.843.37%
LOSSB36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II2.213.37%
WINJadran Dekani - NK Krka1.913.37%
LOSSNorth Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin1.753.37%
LOSSCFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti1.853.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Pick
1 @ 1.98
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 11:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 17d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 16h ago
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