Arenas – SCR Pena Deportiva

Model: TIPPSA

Arenas vs SCR Pena Deportiva

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 44d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.79% · n=75
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SCR Pena Deportiva. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SCR Pena DeportivaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.38First seen
Current3.54Now
Max odds3.54Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ArenasHOME
VS
SCR Pena DeportivaAWAY
DDWWW
Recent form
DWWWD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.00
Shots on target for
2.20
7.67
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
3.00
Home splitD-W-W-L-W1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-W-D-L-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.79% based on n=75 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera - Play-Offs (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.50
V2 BandNONEROI -0.79% · n=75
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. SCR Pena Deportiva has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -19.8% 7D: -14.6% 15D: -8.8% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

Arenas – SCR Pena Deportiva Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.79% across 75 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate10.0%
Profit-6.29u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINDelfin SC - Leones FC3.71-0.79%
LOSSBesiktas - Midtjylland3.31-0.79%
LOSSReal Sociedad - Racing Santander3.50-1.31%
LOSSSacramento Republic - Rhode Island FC3.50-1.31%
LOSSTianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W)3.43-0.79%
LOSSArmenia - Kazakhstan3.70-1.31%
LOSSHerediano - Cartagines3.48-1.78%
LOSSPersis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya3.32-1.78%
Pick
2 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.79% • n=75
Start
Started 44d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 45d ago
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