Model: TipA1

Atlas (W) vs Tijuana (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 25, 2026 5:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 2h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tijuana (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tijuana (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.013 | A: 0.032

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.34Now

Max odds2.34Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Atlas (W)HOME

Tijuana (W)AWAY

DDLLD

Recent form

WLLWW

Avg goals scored

1.00

3.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

2.60

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

2.80

Home splitD-L-D1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded

Away splitL-W3.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX Femenil (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.25

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tijuana (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 39.6% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 3.8% 30D: 3.9%

Model insight

Atlas (W) – Tijuana (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample236

Win Rate42.4%

Profit-6.54u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Futbol Consultants Desamparados - Cariari Pococi	2.50	4.27%
WIN	CD Colegios Diocesanos - CD Galapagar	2.40	4.27%
LOSS	Lokomotiv Tbilisi - FC Gonio	2.20	3.75%
WIN	PPJ/Ruoholahti - Gilla FC	2.50	4.27%
LOSS	Fremad Amager - FC Roskilde	2.30	4.27%
WIN	FC Kreuzlingen - SC Cham	2.20	3.75%
LOSS	Moreirense U23 - Famalicao U23	2.20	3.75%
WIN	Ludogorets Razgrad II - Vihren Sandanski	2.40	4.27%

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Pick

2 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Ago 25, 2026 5:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.85% • n=441

Start

Starts in 3d 2h

Updated

Updated 9m ago