Model: TIPPSA

Malmo FF (W) vs Hammarby (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 21, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 6h 56m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hammarby (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hammarby (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.086 | A: 0.064

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.89First seen

Current2.32Now

Max odds2.89Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Malmo FF (W)HOME

Hammarby (W)AWAY

DWLWD

Recent form

DWLWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

3.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

0.80

Shots on target for

7.40

9.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

2.20

Home splitD-D-D-W-W2.20 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-D-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Damallsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.10

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hammarby (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 39.6% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 3.8% 30D: 3.9%

Model insight

Malmo FF (W) – Hammarby (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample124

Win Rate51.6%

Profit+11.93u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Ulfarnir - KFR Hvolsvöllur	2.30	0.84%
LOSS	Leioa - Portugalete	2.11	1.76%
LOSS	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Beitar Jerusalem	2.33	0.84%
LOSS	Molde 2 - Rosenborg 2	2.09	1.76%
LOSS	St Mochtas - Malahide Utd	2.20	1.21%
LOSS	Wenzhou FC - Shenzhen 2028	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Pors Grenland - Bjarg	2.20	1.21%
WIN	Moggill - Newmarket	2.06	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Ago 21, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 6h 56m ago

Updated

Updated 8h 58m ago