Model: TipA1

Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 27, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Liverpool Montevideo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Liverpool MontevideoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.094 | A: 0.158

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Atletico Fenix MontevideoHOME

Liverpool MontevideoAWAY

WLDDW

Recent form

WWWDW

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.20

Shots on target for

3.60

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

3.20

Home splitL-D-W-W-D1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-W-L1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.75% based on n=380 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Cup (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.10

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Liverpool Montevideo a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Liverpool Montevideo's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 30.1% 7D: 26.4% 15D: 3.7% 30D: 5.5%

Model insight

Atletico Fenix Montevideo – Liverpool Montevideo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.75% across 380 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample148

Win Rate39.9%

Profit-18.85u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Real Bedford (W) - Fulham (W)	2.30	4.27%
LOSS	Puente Alto - Club Aguara	2.05	3.75%
LOSS	Tiszakecske FC - Diosgyori VTK	2.05	3.75%
LOSS	Lokomotiv Tbilisi - FC Gonio	2.20	3.75%
LOSS	Fremad Amager - FC Roskilde	2.30	4.27%
WIN	FC Kreuzlingen - SC Cham	2.20	3.75%
LOSS	Moreirense U23 - Famalicao U23	2.20	3.75%
WIN	Darlington 1883 - Chester	2.25	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
ATSV Wolfsberg - Wolfsberger AC	2	2.15	3.75%	31 Jul 19:00
Atlas (W) - Tijuana (W)	2	2.25	4.27%	25 Aug 03:00

Pick

2 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Ago 27, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.75% • n=380

Start

Starts in 4d

Updated

Updated 9m ago