Model: TipTromba25H

Augsburg vs Sassuolo

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 15h 25m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.77% · n=45

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.77% · n=45

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Augsburg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AugsburgGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.096 | A: 0.036

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AugsburgHOME

SassuoloAWAY

WLDLW

Recent form

LDDLW

Avg goals scored

4.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.40

Shots on target for

8.20

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

4.80

Home splitD-W-D-D1.75 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D-L0.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.77% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.10

V2 BandLOWROI 0.77% · n=45

V4 BandLOWROI 0.77% · n=45

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Augsburg has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -8.7% 7D: 15.5% 15D: 3.2% 30D: 10.4%

Model insight

Augsburg – Sassuolo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba25H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.77% and 0.77%. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample14

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+1.45u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Cambrian United - Briton Ferry	2.15	0.77%
WIN	Stirling - Dumbarton	2.25	0.43%
LOSS	Leones FC - Guayaquil City	2.10	0.77%
LOSS	Tuggeranong Utd (W) - West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	2.30	0.43%
WIN	Portugal - Croatia	2.25	0.43%
LOSS	Glenorchy Knights (W) - South Hobart (W)	2.15	0.77%
WIN	Racing Club (W) - River Plate (W)	2.00	0.77%
WIN	Hubei Istar U20 - Ningbo Professional U20	2.10	0.77%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Pacific FC (CA) - Inter Toronto	1	2.30	0.43%	08 Aug 23:00

Pick

1 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.77% • n=45

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

0.77% • n=45

Start

Starts in 15h 25m

Updated

Updated 9h 58m ago