Model: TIPPSH

Leones FC vs Guayaquil City

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 24, 2026 1:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 14h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12h 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Leones FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Leones FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.036 | A: 0.081

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.10First seen

Current2.07Now

Max odds2.10Highest point

Min odds2.07Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Leones FCHOME

Guayaquil CityAWAY

WDWWD

Recent form

WDWLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.40

Shots on target for

6.80

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.40

Home splitD-W-D-W-W1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-L-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.00

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Leones FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 43.5% 7D: 24.8% 15D: 17.9% 30D: 20.8%

Model insight

Leones FC – Guayaquil City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample15

Win Rate60.0%

Profit+2.60u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Gyeongnam FC - Ansan Greeners FC	1.78	6.72%
WIN	Botafogo SP - Avai	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
LOSS	CRB - Fortaleza	2.17	6.72%
WIN	University NSW U20 - St George Saints U20	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Jincheon HR - Gijang United	1.90	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
WIN	Keflavik - Thor Akureyri	1.82	6.72%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Leones FC - Guayaquil City	1	1.87	6.72%	23 Jul 23:30

Pick

1 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Lug 24, 2026 1:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Starts in 2d 14h

Updated

Updated 12h 13m ago