Model: TIPPSH
Bjarg vs Sotra
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.38
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 14h 52m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 57m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Bjarg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BjargGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.120 | A: -0.049Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
35/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.38First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
BjargHOME
VS
SotraAWAY
WLLWW
Recent form
WLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
4.80
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
3.40
Home splitL-W-W-L-D1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.38. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 2 Group 1 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.38
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -8.7%
7D: 15.5%
15D: 3.2%
30D: 10.4%
Model insight
Bjarg – Sotra Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample239
Win Rate43.5%
Profit+0.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Karlovy Vary - Sokol Hostoun | 2.36 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Gold Coast Knights (W) - Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 2.38 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Fluminense - Vasco da Gama | 2.21 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Philadelphia Union - Cruz Azul | 2.56 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Sacramento Republic - Tulsa | 2.54 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Wycombe - Stevenage | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| WIN | SCR Altach - WSG Swarovski Tirol | 2.16 | 1.31% |
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Pick
1 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 14h 52m
Updated
Updated 2h 57m ago