Model: TIPPSA

Avai vs CRB

PREDICTION

@ 2.74

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 12, 2026 2:30 AM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 1h 39m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 43m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CRB. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CRBGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.069 | A: 0.023

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

25/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.64First seen

Current2.74Now

Max odds2.83Highest point

Min odds2.63Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AvaiHOME

CRBAWAY

LLWDW

Recent form

WWWWD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.60

Shots on target for

3.40

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

4.60

Home splitL-W-W-W-W1.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-W-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.74. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.74

V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, CRB shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. CRB has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -1.3% 7D: 14.4% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 11.1%

Model insight

Avai – CRB Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample30

Win Rate46.7%

Profit+6.47u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	2.58	0.84%
LOSS	Dundee - Aberdeen	2.61	0.84%
WIN	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen FC	2.49	0.84%
WIN	North Carolina Courage (W) - Utah Royals (W)	2.71	0.84%
LOSS	Jeonnam Dragons - Gyeongnam FC	2.66	0.84%
LOSS	Throttur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	2.68	0.84%
LOSS	Treaty United FC - Athlone Town	2.62	0.84%
LOSS	Waldhof Mannheim - FC Liefering	2.51	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.74

Kickoff

Ago 12, 2026 2:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-2.09% • n=286

Start

Started 1h 39m ago

Updated

Updated 3h 43m ago