FC Sion vs Lugano
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Lugano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LuganoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.015 | A: 0.095Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Super League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Lugano shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Lugano has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
FC Sion – Lugano Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cerro Porteno - Libertad Asuncion | 3.19 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Monaco - Marseille | 3.23 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Casa Pia - Moreirense | 2.85 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | NK Naftas Hask - Gaj Mace | 2.87 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | NK Bravo - NS Mura | 3.15 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra SCC | 2.96 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Valenciennes - Concarneau | 3.10 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama | 2.87 | -1.07% |