Avondale – Bentleigh Greens

Model: TIPPSH

Avondale vs Bentleigh Greens

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.64
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 43d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Avondale. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Avondale

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.53First seen
Current1.64Now
Max odds1.68Highest point
Min odds1.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AvondaleHOME
VS
Bentleigh GreensAWAY
WWLWW
Recent form
LLDDW
Avg goals scored
3.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.60
Shots on target for
4.80
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
6.20
Home splitW-W-W-W-W4.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L0.00 scored / 3.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.64. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.64
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Avondale as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Avondale has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 11.5% 7D: 29.4% 15D: 23.9% 30D: 8.1%
Model insight

Avondale – Bentleigh Greens Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample198
Win Rate58.6%
Profit-3.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINPK Keski-Uusimaa - FC Jazz1.68-9.21%
WINNWS Spirit FC - St George Saints1.72-9.89%
WINNjardvik - Grindavik1.62-7.35%
WINArgentina - Switzerland1.71-7.35%
LOSSAtletico Grau - Carlos Manucci1.64-7.35%
LOSSDundalk - Drogheda United1.64-9.21%
WINCento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC1.72-9.21%
LOSSLoudoun United FC - Sporting JAX1.68-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.64
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 43d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 6h ago
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