Toluca vs Austin FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Toluca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TolucaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.023 | A: 0.036Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.69. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Toluca showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Toluca has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Toluca – Austin FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HK Kopavogur (W) - Keflavik (W) | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Juventud De Las Piedras - Club Oriental | 1.70 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Borneo FC - Madura United | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Rana FK - Follo | 1.71 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Maccabi Netanya U19 - Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv U19 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - America MG | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Coventry U21 - Fleetwood Town U21 | 1.63 | -4.66% |
| WIN | FK Andijan - Xorazm Urganch | 1.67 | -7.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Taishan | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 28 Aug 13:35 |
| FC Helsingor - Ishoj | 1 | 1.64 | -9.21% | 28 Aug 19:00 |
| Southern District - Kowloon City | 1 | 1.70 | -7.35% | 29 Aug 10:00 |
| Girona - Las Palmas | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 29 Aug 21:30 |
| Brooklyn FC - Sporting JAX | 1 | 1.67 | -7.35% | 30 Aug 01:00 |
| Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1.72 | -9.21% | 30 Aug 02:30 |