Model: TIPPSH

England vs Croatia

PREDICTION

@ 1.68

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 18, 2026 12:00 AM

ResultWIN4 - 2

StartStarted 45d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.89% · n=63

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.89% · n=63

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is England. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: EnglandGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.74First seen

Current1.68Now

Max odds1.76Highest point

Min odds1.68Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

EnglandHOME

CroatiaAWAY

WWW

Recent form

LWLL

Avg goals scored

2.67

1.25

Defensive weakness

0.67

2.50

Shots on target for

7.67

3.75

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

6.50

Home splitW-W-W2.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitL-L1.50 scored / 3.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.89% based on n=63 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Cup 2026. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.68

V2 BandNONEROI -9.89% · n=63

V4 BandNONEROI -9.89% · n=63

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors England, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to England's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 5.4% 7D: -12.1% 15D: -1.4% 30D: 10.1%

Model insight

England – Croatia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -9.89% and -9.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample286

Win Rate58.7%

Profit-3.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Nordsjaelland - Randers FC	1.65	-6.04%
WIN	Qviding FIF - BK Astrio	1.62	-10.11%
WIN	Deportivo Santaní - Encarnacion FC	1.70	-7.35%
WIN	Legia Warsaw - Zaglebie Lubin	1.62	-7.35%
WIN	Bocas - Veraguas United Reserves	1.63	-10.11%
WIN	Racing Louisville FC (W) - Chicago Stars (W)	1.71	-9.21%
LOSS	Molde - Sarpsborg	1.67	-9.21%
LOSS	SFK Vrchovina - FK Blansko	1.75	-6.04%

Active Similar Predictions

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FK Decic Tuzi - FK Arsenal	1	1.72	-4.66%	02 Aug 20:00
Olimpia Asuncion - Rubio Nu	1	1.75	-9.21%	02 Aug 21:00
Zamora - Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	1	1.68	-9.21%	02 Aug 23:00
Longford Town - Finn Harps	1	1.68	-10.11%	03 Aug 18:00

Pick

1 @ 1.68

Kickoff

Giu 18, 2026 12:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.89% • n=63

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-9.89% • n=63

Start

Started 45d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 23h ago