Ballymun United – St Francis FC

Model: TipTromba35H

Ballymun United vs St Francis FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 4
StartStarted 49d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ballymun United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ballymun United

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.01Now
Max odds3.02Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ballymun UnitedHOME
VS
St Francis FCAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WDWLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
3.80
1.60
Shots on target for
4.20
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
4.80
Home splitL-L-W-L-L1.40 scored / 3.40 conceded
Away splitW-D-L2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 40.0% 7D: 31.8% 15D: 22.3% 30D: 8.0%
Model insight

Ballymun United – St Francis FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample113
Win Rate29.2%
Profit-10.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWisla Krakow - Wrexham3.003.85%
LOSSDefensores de Cambaceres - Sacachispas3.203.85%
WINPuiu - PPJ3.102.17%
LOSSAalesund - Molde3.123.85%
WINAguia de Maraba - ABC3.103.85%
WINMP II - HaPK3.002.17%
LOSSVejle - Randers FC3.253.56%
LOSSAS Trencin - FC Trinity Zlin3.203.85%
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Start
Started 49d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 11h ago
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