Bari – Virtus Entella

Model: TIPPSA

Bari vs Virtus Entella

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.52
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 71d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 71d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Virtus Entella. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Virtus Entella

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.52Now
Max odds2.67Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BariHOME
VS
Virtus EntellaAWAY
WLLLW
Recent form
LWDDL
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
3.20
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
3.20
Home splitW-L-W1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitL-D-L0.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.52. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie B (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.52
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -31.5% 7D: -1.9% 15D: -0.2% 30D: 10.8%
Model insight

Bari – Virtus Entella Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.52. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample145
Win Rate42.1%
Profit+7.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSNK Radomlje - NS Mura2.554.13%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.52
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 71d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 71d 7h ago
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