Beijing Guoan – Shandong Taishan

Model: TIPPSH

Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.79
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 04, 2026 3:35 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 3h 57m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18h 52m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Beijing Guoan. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Beijing Guoan

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current1.80Now
Max odds1.85Highest point
Min odds1.76Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Beijing GuoanHOME
VS
Shandong TaishanAWAY
WWWLD
Recent form
WWLDL
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.80
Shots on target for
9.00
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
4.80
Home splitW-L-W-D-W2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-W2.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.79. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.79
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Beijing Guoan's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 65.3% 7D: 82.2% 15D: 30.3% 30D: 11.3%
Model insight

Beijing Guoan – Shandong Taishan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample244
Win Rate53.7%
Profit+4.71u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINHouston FC - Hill Country Lobos1.853.37%
LOSSJecheon Citizen - Gijang United1.883.37%
WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
LOSSPaysandu - Santa Cruz FC1.813.37%
WINLandskrona BoIS - IFK Varnamo2.023.37%
LOSSChangwon City - Yeoju1.863.37%
WINFC Rosengård (W) - Djurgardens (W)1.993.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.79
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 3:35 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 3h 57m ago
Updated
Updated 18h 52m ago
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