Model: TIPPSH

Bragantino vs Mirassol

PREDICTION

@ 1.88

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 23, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 126d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 126d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bragantino. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BragantinoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.03First seen

Current1.88Now

Max odds2.07Highest point

Min odds1.88Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BragantinoHOME

MirassolAWAY

DWWLL

Recent form

DWLLW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

6.60

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

6.40

Home splitD-W-W-W2.75 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-L1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa do Brasil (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.88

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bragantino's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -11.4% 7D: -0.4% 15D: 23.2% 30D: 17.7%

Model insight

Bragantino – Mirassol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample339

Win Rate51.6%

Profit-2.34u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Eintracht Frankfurt (W) - PSG (W)	2.13	3.37%
WIN	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	1.85	3.37%
WIN	Ferrymead Bays - Nelson Suburbs	2.05	3.37%
WIN	PEPO - HIFK	2.01	3.37%
LOSS	Tochigi SC - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1.94	3.37%
LOSS	ASD Seravezza Calcio - Scandicci	2.00	3.37%
LOSS	Dangjin Citizen FC - Yeoju	2.02	3.37%
WIN	Sabah - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1.86	3.37%

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Pick

1 @ 1.88

Kickoff

Apr 23, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.30% • n=590

Start

Started 126d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 126d 5h ago