Model: TIPPSA
Deportivo Cuenca – Orense
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.42
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultWIN1 - 3
StartStarted 34d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.80% · n=30
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 34d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Deportivo Cuenca | Orense |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-L-W | W-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W (home) | W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 5.60 against | 5.50 for / 3.75 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.67 for / 6.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 7.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market prices Orense as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Orense is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.11First seen
Current4.35Now
Max odds4.35Highest point
Min odds4.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Deportivo Cuenca – Orense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.42. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 10.80% across 30 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+8.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Lyon - Lens | 4.60 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Dijon - US Orleans 45 | 4.50 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Zira IK - FK Gabala | 4.44 | -2.42% |
| WIN | Getafe - Rayo Vallecano | 4.53 | -0.38% |
| WIN | Bodrum FK - Sariyer | 4.33 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | FC Utrecht - NAC | 4.30 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Jacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas | 4.42 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Deportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W) | 4.28 | -2.42% |
Pick
2 @ 4.42
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
10.80% • n=30
Start
Started 34d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 34d 8h ago