Model: TIPPSH

Brasil de Farroupilha vs Guarani de Venancio Aires

PREDICTION

@ 1.97

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 3

StartStarted 9h 44m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Brasil de Farroupilha. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Brasil de FarroupilhaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.031 | A: -0.063

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.92First seen

Current1.97Now

Max odds1.97Highest point

Min odds1.92Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Brasil de FarroupilhaHOME

Guarani de Venancio AiresAWAY

DDWLD

Recent form

DLWDL

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.80

Shots on target for

5.80

3.25

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

5.00

Home splitD-D-W-D-L1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-W-D1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.97. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.97

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Brasil de Farroupilha has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 36.5% 7D: 29.4% 15D: 5.0% 30D: 7.0%

Model insight

Brasil de Farroupilha – Guarani de Venancio Aires Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.97. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample825

Win Rate49.1%

Profit-32.69u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves	1.87	1.04%
LOSS	Goztepe U19 - Genclerbirligi U19	1.96	1.04%
LOSS	Unia Swarzedz - Wda Swiecie	1.75	1.04%
LOSS	Goztepe - Genclerbirligi	1.76	1.04%
WIN	Capital CF U20 - Sobradinho U20	1.79	1.04%
LOSS	Gramadense - APAFUT	1.93	1.04%
LOSS	Rapid Vienna (W) - SCR Altach (W)	1.84	1.04%
WIN	KSZO Ostrowiec - Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	1.78	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.97

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 9h 44m ago

Updated

Updated 11h 58m ago