Brasil de Farroupilha – Santa Cruz RS

Model: TIPPSA

Brasil de Farroupilha vs Santa Cruz RS

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 55d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Santa Cruz RS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Santa Cruz RSGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.22First seen
Current2.67Now
Max odds2.67Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Brasil de FarroupilhaHOME
VS
Santa Cruz RSAWAY
DLLDD
Recent form
DDWDW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.00
Shots on target for
2.80
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
4.20
Home splitD-L-D-L-D0.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-D-W1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.67. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.59% based on n=214 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Gaucho (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.67
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.59% · n=214
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Santa Cruz RS shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Santa Cruz RS has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -14.1% 7D: 7.4% 15D: -6.1% 30D: 11.3%
Model insight

Brasil de Farroupilha – Santa Cruz RS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample123
Win Rate39.8%
Profit+4.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSFC Gute - Kungsängens IF2.803.61%
LOSSAarau - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2.764.96%
WINPanama U20 - Canada U202.714.13%
LOSSGremio - Fluminense2.543.43%
LOSSSportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion2.473.59%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.67
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214
Start
Started 55d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 11h ago
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